top of page

Next Generation Scenarios Guidance

The guidance lays out a process to develop credible disaster scenarios that result in efforts to change policy and mitigate risk, including ways to engage stakeholders at every step. Communities can apply these powerful approaches to reduce their risks from earthquakes, tsunamis, landslides and volcanic eruptions. The methods support locally owned, locally led, locally sustained resilience, especially in low-resource contexts. Findings are based on extensive interviews with over 150 practitioners in Nepal, Ecuador, New Zealand, and California, USA, research of past scenario efforts worldwide, and emerging approaches.

 

Download “next generation” scenario guidance: 

  1. Primary guidance for developing “next generation” scenarios, with emphasis on earthquake and landslide hazards: Advancing Scenario Practice to Build Resilience to Geologic Hazards

  2. Guidance for developing “next generation” scenarios for volcanic eruption. Coming Soon 

  3. Considerations for multiple country and cross-border scenarios: Considerations for the Development of Multi-Country Geologic Hazard Scenarios

NextGen.jpg

Watch a video discussion of research findings:

Advancing Scenario Practice to Motivate Mitigation - Key Findings from Past Scenarios https://youtu.be/ujJeHo7X9Uk 

USGS_logo_edited.png

This guidance is made possible by the generous support of the American people through USAID's Bureau of Humanitarian Assistance (BHA). The content of the guidance document is the responsibility of GeoHazards International and associated consultants and does not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States government. Portions of this material are based upon work supported by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) under Grant No. G21AP10023-00. Mention of trade names or commercial products does not constitute their endorsement by the USGS.

bottom of page