Assessments & Scenarios Projects
Next Generation Scenarios: Studies and Guidance
A scenario can tell a story of a probable-but-hypothetical disaster. By showing specific consequences–to people, buildings, infrastructure, and land–this tool can make complex data understandable for decision-makers, most of whom are not specialists in technical fields.
Rapid Diagnostic of School Infrastructure
Findings about schools' vulnerability to natural hazards, climate change, and infrastructure deficiencies will inform plans to make schools safer and more resilient.
Safety Measures for Landsliding in Kerala
Investigations of still dangerous slopes in Idukki, where 2018 landslides damaged thousands of homes. Partnered with Kerala University, Kerala State Disaster Management Authority (KSDMA), local officials.
Reducing Extreme Landslide and Seismic Risk in Aizawl
A detailed scenario process engaged leaders and technical professionals in India’s most populous hill city to understand, assess and mitigate Aizawl’s very high risk of landslides and earthquakes.
Implementing Aizawl's Landslide Action Plan
Local engineers, geologists, and professors learned in intensive field courses how to assess hazard risk, apply safe development regulations and map hazards, and reduce landslide risk.
Disaster Scenarios for Risk-Informed Planning
Scenarios of a plausible earthquake quantify impacts, including more than 50% of schools damaged, and guide communities to reduce extreme risk before a disaster.
Increasing Resilience to Earthquakes and Landslides in Shaanxi Province
Created a disaster scenario that vividly depicts likely casualties, damages, and actions to reduce risk. Chinese partners learned to develop this tool for public awareness and risk-informed planning.
Seismic Retrofit of Key Delhi Buildings
Engineers gained on-the-job experience to design and install retrofit solutions for a large school, which cost less than to rebuild and became a model.
Supporting Thimphu’s Path to Safer Buildings
Using models to identify and quantify building damage from two likely earthquakes affecting the capital city, the scenarios will inform land use planning and building codes to reduce risk.
Quito Earthquake Risk Management Plan
Scientists, engineers and planners together developed a likely scenario of earthquake impact to Quito, and based on this local leaders planned programs to mitigate that risk.
Seismic Resilience Evaluations
Engineers gained skills to assess structural vulnerability of Bhutan’s schools and health facilities, so that the government could evaluate post-earthquake safety of buildings.
Advancing Earthquake Engineering Practice and Instruction
Developed university earthquake engineering curriculum and supported strengthening of graduate program; advanced structural analysis capacity and extensively mentored practicing engineers.
Schools Seismic Retrofit Designs for Quito
Created seismic retrofit designs for typical building types using local materials and construction techniques, and strengthened representative schools.
School Seismic Vulnerability Assessments
Findings indicate the extent of risk to schoolchildren in the typical school building types found in a fast-growing municipality in far west Nepal.
Vertical Evacuation Structures for Tsunamis
Studied the feasibility of vertical evacuation solutions in Padang for safety during tsunamis. This could save lives in coastal cities where high ground does not exist or people do not have time to evacuate.
Kathmandu Valley Earthquake Risk Management
One objective was to quantify and plan how to mitigate the high vulnerability of public schools. This led to hands-on training and seismic retrofit of many schools.
Risk Assessment Tools for Diagnosis of Urban Areas (RADIUS)
Ecuador, Mexico, Chile
Earthquake scenarios and action plans provide city-specific objectives for disaster preparedness and mitigation, and were developed with government, science, business and academic sectors.
Earthquake Vulnerability of Gujarat Schools
This study found significant earthquake vulnerability in Gujarat public school buildings and recommended steps to reduce and mitigate the risk.
Earthquake Safety of the Tibetan Community
An effort to develop seismic strengthening and protect contents for a key building, raise awareness, and prepare schools in the city that is home to the Tibetan government-in-exile.
Kathmandu Priority Hospitals Seismic Assessment
Prioritized short and long-term changes to improve post-disaster function of hospitals that provide critical medical services for a large number of people.
Review and Field Test of the Global Hospital Safety Index
Solomon Islands, Nepal
Technical review and field testing of a World Health Organization (WHO) tool to screen hospitals’ vulnerabilities to multiple hazards as well as their level of emergency and disaster preparedness.
Kathmandu Hospital Pre and Post Earthquake Assessments Compared
Two Kathmandu hospitals had been assessed for disaster preparedness just before the 2015 M7.8 Gorkha earthquake. Pre- and post-earthquake findings are compared.
Global Earthquake Safety Initiative
Technical information about likely lethality of earthquakes in 21 cities-- including vulnerable aspects of the built environment, schools and hospitals--to help the cities prioritize risk mitigation efforts.